Schedule Risk Analysis
Will you hit the date? Know the odds.
Run thousands of Monte Carlo simulations across your schedule to see the real probability of finishing on time — P50, P80, a confidence S-curve, and the activities driving the risk.
Run thousands of Monte Carlo simulations across your schedule to see the real probability of finishing on time — P50, P80, a confidence S-curve, and the activities driving the risk.
A deterministic finish date is a guess. Schedule Risk Analysis gives you the distribution behind it.
Thousands of runs over your activity uncertainty ranges.
The dates you can stand behind — at 50% and 80% confidence.
The full probability curve of completion over time.
Which activities swing the finish date the most.
Optimistic / likely / pessimistic ranges on every activity.
Where to compress for the biggest gain in confidence.
Calibrating uncertainty on hundreds of activities by hand is guesswork. The AI sets sensible optimistic / pessimistic bands from each activity's type and history, explains the result in plain English, and tells you exactly where to compress for the biggest P80 gain.
The histogram and confidence S-curve show the full range of likely finish dates — so you commit to P80, not to a hopeful single line that ignores every risk in the plan.
The tornado chart ranks the activities that swing your finish date the most — so mitigation effort goes where it actually changes the odds, not where it feels productive.
We'll run a Monte Carlo analysis on your schedule and show you P80 — and how to protect it.